Application of Monte Carlo Method in Hydraulic Structures Safety Assessment in Vietnam Conditions
Lan Huong Nguyen1, Quang Hung Nguyen2

1Lan Huong Nguyen, Thuyloi University, Hanoi, 100000 Ha noi, Vietnam.
2Quang Hung Nguyen, Thuyloi University, Hanoi, 100000 Ha noi, Vietnam.

Manuscript received on 01 August 2019 | Revised Manuscript received on 05 August 2019 | Manuscript published on 30 August 2019 | PP: 3141-3146 | Volume-8 Issue-10, August 2019 | Retrieval Number: J95110881019/19©BEIESP | DOI: 10.35940/ijitee.J9511.0881019
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Abstract: Vietnam is a country with many dams but most of these works are designed according to the Determined design method and analysis of safety factors, while the Random design method and the reliability analysis have become popular in the world for many years. The paper introduces the method of calculating reliability for hydraulic structures according to the Monte Carlo method or the level III random design method. Based on the method of calculating the reliability of dams according to the Monte Carlo, the authors applied to calculate the reliability of the main dam of Phu Ninh – Quang Nam irrigation reservoirs. Compare with the reliability calculations at level II and have recommendations applied to all levels of construction in Vietnam conditions: with important dams will be calculated according to the problem of level III, with less important works of regions, calculated according to level II.
Keywords: Monte Carlo Method, Failure Probability, Random Variable, Confidence Function, Water Overtopping Mechanism.

Scope of the Article: Hydraulic Engineering