Prospects of the Russian Coal Industry in the Conditions of Transition to a New Energy Pattern
Apal’kova T. G.1, Kazantseva N. V.2, Nadtochiy Yu. B.3
1Apal’kova Tamara Gennadjevna*, Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Department of Data Analysis, Decision-Making and Financial Technologies, Financial University Under the Government of the Russian Federation, Leningradsky Prospect, Moscow, Russian Federation, Email:
2Kazantseva Natalia Vasiljevna, Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Economic Policy and Economic Measurements of the State University of Management of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education, Russian Federation.
3Nadtochiy Yuliya Borisovna*, Associate Professor, Candidate of Pedagogical Sciences, Associate Professor at Department of Economics and Innovation Entrepreneurship, Institute of Economics and Law, MIREA – Russian Technological University (RTU MIREA), Moscow, Russian Federation.
Manuscript received on January 18, 2020. | Revised Manuscript received on January 25, 2020. | Manuscript published on February 10, 2020. | PP: 1831-1835 | Volume-9 Issue-4, February 2020. | Retrieval Number: D1782029420/2020©BEIESP | DOI: 10.35940/ijitee.D1318.029420
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© The Authors. Blue Eyes Intelligence Engineering and Sciences Publication (BEIESP). This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)
Abstract: The article analyzes the prospects for changes in the volume of exports of Russian coal due to the reduction of its consumption for energy production by the importing countries. The importance of Russian power generating coal for the energy supply to the world as a whole and to individual importing regions in particular is shown. It is justified that a radical and abrupt refusal to use coal as an energy source in the next few years would hardly be possible because the per capita and the total electric energy consumption has been growing all over the world. To a large extent, this is due to the increase in the number of data centers around the world, which centers do not yet have enough “green” sources of energy to ensure the uninterrupted operation thereof. Therefore, coal exports from Russia to the European countries, China and DPRK will continue to grow in the years to come; this is confirmed by the forecast models built by the authors, which models consider changes in the coal and electricity consumption by major importers. By the time the conditions are ensured for the majority of countries in the world to abandon coal as a source of electricity in order to stop air pollution, Russia will need to find opportunities for its alternative use, an example of which would be the creation and development of production of competitive products of the coal chemical industry.
Keywords: Coal Consumption Forecast, Export of Russian Coal, Energy Consumption by DPC (Data Processing Center), Coal Chemical Industry, Econometric Model, Global Coal Consumption, Energy Consumption Growth, Closure of Thermal Power Plants.
Scope of the Article: Thermal Engineering